AEL Larisa vs Apollon Kalamaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ARI
1 - 1
LAR
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 3
THR
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
5 - 1
OFI
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PAN
2 - 0
LAR
65%
23%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
THR
1 - 0
LAR
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LEV
2 - 0
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ATR
3 - 0
APO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
APO
1 - 0
VER
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 1
APO
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |