Laredo Heat vs Austin Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laredo Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
DFW
0 - 3
LAR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
ELP
1 - 0
LAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 1
LAR
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 1
NOS
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 2
DFW
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Austin Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
NOS
8 - 1
AUS
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 1
ELP
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 2
MIS
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 2
BRC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 1
LAR
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |