Larache vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 1
LCF
73%
15%
13%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LCF
5 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +4 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
CAA
2 - 2
LCF
86%
9%
6%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
LCF
3 - 2
UBE
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SDC
3 - 1
LCF
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
UTR
4 - 2
EST
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BET
1 - 4
UTR
90%
6%
4%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
UTR
3 - 1
SFE
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +5 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
RCD
7 - 0
UTR
87%
8%
5%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
UTR
0 - 1
JSE
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |