Larache vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
UDE
1 - 0
LCF
78%
12%
10%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
LCF
6 - 1
MER
85%
9%
6%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
MEL
5 - 1
LCF
77%
13%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BET
3 - 1
LCF
85%
9%
6%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
LCF
2 - 6
SFE
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
1 - 1
BET
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SFE
3 - 2
RJA
58%
19%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
3 - 1
REC
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
EME
1 - 0
RJA
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAA
67%
17%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |