Larache vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SDC
5 - 0
LCF
79%
12%
9%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
LCF
2 - 0
EME
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
UDE
3 - 4
LCF
76%
13%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LCF
4 - 1
ILI
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ALG
6 - 1
LCF
88%
7%
5%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
MEL
7 - 1
RJA
61%
19%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 3
SDC
53%
20%
27%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
EME
4 - 3
RJA
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RJA
2 - 1
UDE
66%
17%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ILI
2 - 1
RJA
61%
18%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |