Larache vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
AFC
2 - 1
LCF
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
LCF
6 - 1
UTA
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
PES
1 - 1
LCF
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
LCF
2 - 2
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
LCF
3 - 0
GIM
70%
15%
15%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
MEL
2 - 1
AFC
89%
7%
4%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
UTA
0 - 2
MEL
27%
22%
50%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
MEL
5 - 1
PES
90%
7%
3%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
MEL
3 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
4%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
GIM
1 - 1
MEL
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |