Larache vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
UTR
1 - 0
LCF
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
LCF
4 - 3
MAL
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
GRA
3 - 1
LCF
74%
14%
12%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
LCF
0 - 2
CAA
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ILI
4 - 0
LCF
70%
15%
15%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
SFE
1 - 1
BET
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
CDB
2 - 1
SFE
67%
17%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
RCD
5 - 0
SFE
87%
8%
5%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
SFE
5 - 0
UTR
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MAL
2 - 0
SFE
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |