Larache vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
LCF
4 - 0
COR
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
CAL
4 - 1
LCF
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
MEL
1 - 3
LCF
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
LCF
0 - 1
BAL
56%
20%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
REC
6 - 0
LCF
87%
8%
5%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
SFE
2 - 1
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
BAL
3 - 0
SFE
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
CAD
2 - 0
SFE
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
SFE
1 - 1
REC
53%
19%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ANT
3 - 0
SFE
53%
20%
28%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |