Larache vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
BAL
1 - 1
LCF
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
LCF
4 - 1
CAT
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
MEL
4 - 2
LCF
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
LCF
3 - 2
ANT
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
LCF
3 - 2
RJA
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SFE
6 - 1
CAA
55%
21%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
SDC
6 - 0
SFE
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
BAL
3 - 0
SFE
50%
22%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
SFE
3 - 2
CAT
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |