Larache vs Gimnástico de Alcázar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
VIL
3 - 0
LCF
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
LCF
4 - 3
CDP
78%
13%
10%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CEU
3 - 1
LCF
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
LCF
1 - 2
UTA
85%
9%
6%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
GIM
2 - 0
LCF
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
GIM
1 - 0
MEL
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SDC
3 - 1
GIM
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
GIM
1 - 2
EST
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
CDA
0 - 1
GIM
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
GIM
2 - 0
LCF
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |