Larache vs Español de Tetuán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.2%
8.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
MEL
1 - 0
LCF
87%
8%
5%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LCF
2 - 0
AFC
93%
5%
2%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
UTA
0 - 2
LCF
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
LCF
2 - 1
PES
94%
5%
2%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
VIL
2 - 1
LCF
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Español de Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
EST
2 - 5
MEL
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
AFC
5 - 1
EST
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
UTA
3 - 0
EST
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
EST
1 - 1
PES
92%
6%
3%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
EST
0 - 0
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |