Copa de la Superliga Reservas Last 16
Global 3-4
Lanús II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 0
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
3 - 2
LAN
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 3
BEL
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CAU
1 - 1
LAN
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
3 - 2
LAN
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IND
1 - 3
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 1
ATL
60%
21%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 1
VEL
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 0
TIG
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |