Lanús II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
RAC
4 - 0
LAN
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 2
IND
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
LAN
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 2
BAN
53%
22%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 2
NCR
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 2
NCR
64%
20%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 1
VEL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 2
VEL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SMS
2 - 3
VEL
15%
20%
64%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |