Lanús II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LAN
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
ATR
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
LAN
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NOB
4 - 3
LAN
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 2
BOC
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
ABR
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 1
VEL
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 3
RIV
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |