Lantana vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lantana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
LAN
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
0 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
LAN
2 - 1
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
FCL
0 - 1
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
LAN
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |