Lannion vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
5º
27
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 0
LAN
22%
20%
58%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
LAT
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 1
DIN
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 3
LAN
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 7
TFC
3%
9%
88%
|
29 | 79 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 5
VIT
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
7 - 2
PLA
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -3 |