Lancy FC vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SOL
4 - 2
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 2
SOL
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
LAN
4 - 4
LAU
51%
23%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
DUD
1 - 3
LAN
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
VEV
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
THU
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
MEY
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
NAT
1 - 1
THU
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
THU
2 - 4
LAN
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 2
THU
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |