Lancy FC vs Echallens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
50
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
LAN
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 3
ETO
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 0
NAT
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEY
1 - 5
LAN
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ECH
1 - 6
STA
9%
15%
77%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
ECH
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ECH
4 - 0
FCK
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ECH
0 - 1
VEV
22%
22%
57%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ECH
4 - 3
LAU
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |