Lancing vs Rusthall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 3
LAN
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 1
SIT
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 0
LAN
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
LIT
1 - 1
LAN
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 1
CHA
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rusthall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WET
0 - 0
RUS
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RUS
0 - 0
CRO
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
RUS
0 - 3
TON
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RUS
0 - 2
BEA
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
RUS
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +2 |