Lancaster City vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
WAK
0 - 2
LAN
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
RAD
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
WAR
4 - 0
LAN
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
FAR
39%
26%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
OSS
2 - 1
LAN
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
WOS
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
TRA
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 3
DUR
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WOS
0 - 2
TRA
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 0
SKE
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |