Lancaster City vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
DUR
5 - 3
LAN
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GAR
1 - 2
LAN
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 1
SKE
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
BAM
2 - 6
LAN
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 0
WAK
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 10
RAD
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
OSS
3 - 2
HAR
16%
19%
66%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
FAR
3 - 0
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 2
BAM
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
GAR
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |