Lamego U19 vs União Nogueirense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
79.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
8º
8º
24
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lamego U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 0
LAM
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 1
SOU
14%
16%
70%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEX
4 - 0
LAM
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 3
PEN
14%
17%
68%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAM
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOG
4 - 1
PAD
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 4
NOG
42%
22%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NOG
2 - 1
PEN
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOG
3 - 2
VAL
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
NOG
24%
20%
55%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |