Lamego U19 vs Penafiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
8º
8º
10
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lamego U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
PAD
4 - 0
LAM
91%
7%
3%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 4
VAL
7%
13%
79%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NOG
6 - 0
LAM
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
ESP
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 6
LEX
6%
13%
81%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
ESP
42%
22%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PEN
62%
19%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 3
SOU
29%
21%
51%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |