Lake Macquarie vs Newcastle Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
LAK
2 - 3
LAM
14%
20%
67%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 0
LAK
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BRO
4 - 1
LAK
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ADR
1 - 3
LAK
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LAK
1 - 1
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HAM
1 - 2
EDG
22%
21%
58%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
HAM
0 - 4
BRO
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MAI
3 - 1
HAM
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 0
HAM
10%
18%
73%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
HAM
12%
19%
70%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |