Lajeadense vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AIM
1 - 2
LAJ
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
LAJ
1 - 3
JUV
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
PEL
0 - 1
LAJ
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
RIV
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
LAJ
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
GLO
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAO
71%
19%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
LAJ
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAO
79%
17%
4%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 1
SAO
59%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |