Lajeadense vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
LAJ
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LAJ
2 - 2
SJO
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LAJ
0 - 1
ECA
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAX
4 - 2
LAJ
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LAJ
4 - 2
GRE
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
CAX
3 - 0
ECA
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
SJO
2 - 1
CAX
16%
21%
64%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAX
4 - 2
LAJ
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |