Lajeadense vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
LAJ
90%
8%
2%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 0
LAJ
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
LAJ
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SCI
6%
15%
79%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LAJ
1 - 1
YPI
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
YPI
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAX
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 4
CAX
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |