Lai Chi vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
47.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lai Chi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
ALF
4 - 9
LAI
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 9
CHF
32%
21%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BEN
8 - 0
LAI
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 14
CPK
31%
20%
48%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LAI
1 - 1
HSA
37%
21%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
MCA
6 - 5
WAK
50%
20%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 0
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 3
MCA
41%
21%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
5 - 0
ALF
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |