Lai Chi vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lai Chi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PSP
2 - 4
LAI
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LAI
0 - 5
BEN
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CPK
1 - 1
LAI
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LAI
0 - 2
WAK
44%
20%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CPO
2 - 6
LAI
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MCA
4 - 0
CLU
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 5
MCA
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MCA
8 - 0
PSP
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |