Lagos vs Redondense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 2
ALJ
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SES
1 - 2
LAG
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
6 - 0
DES
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 0
FAB
12%
23%
65%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | +2 |
Matches
Redondense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
QUA
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PES
2 - 0
RED
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
UNI
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
2 - 2
RED
84%
13%
4%
|
17 | 71 | 54 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
MES
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |