GD Lagoa vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
14º
8º
22
10º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
LAG
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 1
SIN
27%
26%
48%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
LAG
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAM
5%
14%
81%
|
27 | 82 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 0
OPE
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
FAB
33%
28%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
FCB
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 1
OPE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SIN
3 - 2
FCB
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 1
ALE
29%
27%
45%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |