GD Lagoa vs Comércio e Indústria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
14º
8º
29
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
LAG
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
COI
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 2
EVN
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
LAG
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Comércio e Indústria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 1
EST
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 0
CIN
69%
19%
13%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CFB
4 - 3
CIN
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
LOU
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 1
FCB
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +7 |