Lagoa vs Messinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RED
1 - 2
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 3
ALJ
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LAG
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
LAG
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MES
3 - 1
ALJ
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
MES
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
DES
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
3 - 1
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
QUA
2 - 1
MES
65%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |