Lagoa vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LAG
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
LAG
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
QUA
1 - 0
LAG
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 0
PES
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALJ
3 - 3
FAB
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 69 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SES
2 - 3
ALJ
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALJ
2 - 0
DES
82%
13%
6%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 2
ALJ
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALJ
0 - 1
QUA
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |