Lagarto vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 1
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 1
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
LAG
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
69%
20%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 0
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |