Lagartense vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagartense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LAG
2 - 2
ITA
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
RFC
1 - 1
LAG
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
LAG
3 - 3
SER
12%
18%
71%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 0
LAG
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
ITA
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 0
AME
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
RFC
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |