Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-8
Laçi vs Dnepr Mogilev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2010 |
KRU
1 - 0
LAÇ
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LAÇ
1 - 0
KFS
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
DIN
2 - 4
LAÇ
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
BES
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TIR
1 - 2
LAÇ
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
DNP
0 - 2
SHA
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
DNP
0 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
PMI
1 - 0
DNP
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
DNP
1 - 0
NAF
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
NEM
1 - 2
DNP
38%
29%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |