La Tour d'Auvergne vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
14º
13º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Tour d'Auvergne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ESO
0 - 2
LAT
53%
21%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 2
LAT
43%
22%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
LAT
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 3
ANG
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
3 - 0
THO
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 0
ANG
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
SPG
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
ASC
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |