La Mutual Juan XXIII vs Union Manzanares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Mutual Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
LMJ
22%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LMJ
1 - 1
JLC
74%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
YSB
1 - 1
LMJ
45%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LMJ
3 - 2
ADL
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FER
0 - 3
LMJ
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Manzanares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UMN
2 - 1
CAB
68%
16%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PEU
3 - 1
UMN
12%
15%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UMN
4 - 1
CDK
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 3
UMN
49%
20%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UMN
2 - 1
ALB
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |