La Mutual Juan XXIII vs Aviación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Mutual Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
LMJ
26%
20%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LMJ
1 - 0
ALB
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 4
LMJ
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LMJ
4 - 0
PEU
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDK
1 - 1
LMJ
22%
19%
59%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AVC
2 - 1
CAB
36%
20%
44%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AVC
0 - 0
PEU
30%
22%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDK
0 - 1
AVC
67%
17%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
AVC
0 - 1
PLA
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UMN
6 - 1
AVC
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |