La Mosca U19 vs Real Jaén U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
12º
2º
37
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Mosca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 1
LAM
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 1
LAM
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
ELE
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 0
LAM
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 1
CDM
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REA
2 - 3
MCF
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
REA
3 - 3
SAN
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ARE
2 - 2
REA
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
REA
2 - 4
UDA
38%
21%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
REA
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |