La Masía Nace vs Defensor Cubillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
47.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Cubillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
DCE
6 - 2
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DLV
2 - 1
DCE
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DCE
0 - 2
CDG
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CDG
3 - 1
DCE
79%
14%
8%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DCE
2 - 0
DLV
27%
21%
53%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |