La Gauloise vs CS Capesterre Bell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
1º
9
13º
16º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 33 |
3º
|
81.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
76.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
76.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 11 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Gauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
5 - 0
CER
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 0
RSG
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 0
ASG
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
JEE
1 - 0
LAG
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VIE
0 - 1
LAG
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Capesterre Bell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 3
RSG
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
ASG
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
JEE
0 - 1
CSC
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
VIE
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
CBM
3 - 1
CSC
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |