La Fresneda vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAL
2 - 0
FRE
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 2
UNI
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 0
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 2
LEN
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
FRE
59%
21%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCO
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
LEN
19%
22%
58%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CLA
2 - 0
UCO
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
CAN
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AND
3 - 1
UCO
75%
16%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |