La Fresneda vs UD Llanera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
74.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 0
FRE
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 4
NAV
13%
20%
68%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 1
FRE
72%
16%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAD
11%
18%
70%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 1
FRE
67%
19%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 2
NAV
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
UDL
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 1
LUA
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ESM
2 - 0
UDL
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
6 - 0
CAM
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |