La Floresta vs Icomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Floresta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARE
4 - 4
FLO
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FLO
0 - 0
BON
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AST
0 - 3
FLO
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FLO
3 - 1
MON
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FES
3 - 2
FLO
61%
19%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Icomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
ICO
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ICO
3 - 1
ARE
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BON
2 - 1
ICO
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ICO
3 - 0
AST
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 4
ICO
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |