Segunda Categoría - Ecuador 1/16
Global 2-2
La Concordia vs Unibolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESR
0 - 1
LCO
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LCO
2 - 0
ESR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Unibolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDU
2 - 0
AGO
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AGO
0 - 0
CDU
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CDU
0 - 1
CDP
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDP
0 - 0
CDU
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CDU
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |