Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-10
Śląsk Wrocław vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WLO
2 - 1
SLA
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SLA
1 - 1
WAR
40%
25%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
HEL
3 - 1
SLA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
SLA
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SLA
0 - 3
HEL
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 6
HAN
9%
18%
72%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HAN
3 - 4
MUD
16%
23%
62%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
HAN
2 - 0
STP
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
STP
0 - 3
HAN
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
HAN
0 - 4
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |