L'Aquila vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
LAQ
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
GAV
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 2
LAQ
15%
24%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
LAQ
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
USP
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
USP
81%
14%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
USP
0 - 0
ASD
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
USP
15%
23%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
USP
0 - 0
GAV
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |