L'Aquila vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 2
LAQ
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
26%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 0
RIE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OST
0 - 0
LAQ
24%
26%
51%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAQ
11 - 0
FOL
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 1
ULD
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
SSD
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
SSD
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 3
NUO
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |